Written By | Business Experts
Economic & Social Transformation
While global tourism nearly stalled in 2026, Africa kept growing. UN Tourism's September 2026 World Tourism Barometer estimated about 690 million international arrivals worldwide in the first half of the year, only around 3 million more than a year earlier, or growth of 0.4%. Africa recorded 4% growth over the same period. The global slowdown came from the Middle East conflict, high oil prices and rising travel costs, which led UN Tourism to cut its full-year forecast for global arrival growth to 1–2%, down from the 3–4% it projected in January.
This growth comes on top of a strong 2025, when Africa received about 81 million international arrivals by UN Tourism's count, an 8% increase and the fastest of any world region. The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) uses a broader definition and counts 99.2 million international visitors. It estimates that travel and tourism added US$228 billion to African economies in 2025 and will reach US$241 billion in 2026, supporting about 31.5 million jobs.
For many economies the sector now earns as much foreign exchange as their main commodity exports. The real question is how much of each visitor's spending stays in the country. This article looks at that question across North, East, Southern and West Africa.
North Africa: Volume Leaders With Different Models
Morocco and Egypt are the continent's two largest destinations, and they show two different ways of earning from tourism. Morocco received 19.8 million tourists in 2025, a 14% increase. By the end of June 2026 it had received nearly 9.4 million visitors, up 6% year on year according to the finance ministry's Directorate of Studies and Financial Forecasts (DEPF). Arrivals from Germany rose 14% and from Poland 32%. Revenue grew faster than arrivals. Morocco's Foreign Exchange Office reported first-half 2026 tourism receipts of MAD 64.89 billion (about US$7.1 billion), up 15.9%. The travel-balance surplus rose 20.6% to MAD 48.8 billion. In the same period, remittances from Moroccans abroad were MAD 61.48 billion, so tourism earned slightly more foreign exchange than the diaspora sent home.
Egypt earns more per visitor. It received a record of about 19 million visitors in 2025. Central Bank of Egypt data show tourism revenue of US$10.2 billion in July–December 2025, the first half of fiscal 2025/26, up 17.3% from US$8.7 billion a year earlier. The government reported about US$14.4 billion for July 2025 to March 2026. The Grand Egyptian Museum, which opened fully in November 2025, received about 4 million visitors by the end of August 2026, according to the tourism ministry. Officials expect close to 5 million by year-end. Cairo is targeting about 21 million arrivals in 2026. Revenue of roughly US$6.8 billion from 7.5 million visitors through May implies average spending of about US$900 per tourist, well above the regional norm.
Taken together, Morocco, Egypt and Tunisia received a record 23 million visitors in the first half of 2026. That was a 4.5% increase, slower than in 2025. The slowdown is a reminder that a region bordering the Middle East is exposed to the conflict and fuel-price shocks that are pulling down global numbers.
East Africa: Earnings Outpacing Arrivals
East Africa's leading destinations are growing receipts faster than visitor numbers, which suggests rising value per visitor. Kenya's Government Delivery Unit counted 2,792,875 international arrivals in the year to June 2026, 88% more than the 1,483,752 recorded in 2022. Tourism earnings over the 2025/26 financial year reached a record KSh564 billion, above the ministry's own target of KSh529 billion. Over the same four years earnings rose about 110%, faster than arrivals.
Tanzania received 5.94 million visitors in 2025, up 10.7%. Of these, 3.64 million were domestic tourists, up 13.1%, and 2.29 million were international arrivals, up 7.1%. Receipts were reported at about US$3.9 billion in 2024 and rose further in 2025. The government says it can reach 7 million total visitors in 2026 and has an 8-million target for 2030 under its Dira 2050 vision. The large domestic share is important. WTTC estimates that domestic travellers account for 61% of all tourism spending in Africa. That spending is less affected by long-haul airfares and exchange rates, and it supports small lodges and transport operators that international packages often bypass.
There is also a supply response. W Hospitality Group's 2026 survey of hotel chain pipelines counts a record 123,846 rooms in 675 hotels planned across Africa, up 18.6% year on year. In Kenya and Ethiopia close to 80% of pipeline rooms are already under construction, and in Tanzania 77.5%, the highest shares on the continent. Under-construction rooms are the projects most likely to be completed.
Southern Africa: Recovery Turns Into Growth
South Africa was UN Tourism's best-performing African destination in the first half of 2026, with 12% growth in international arrivals, enough to rank it among the 20 fastest-growing destinations in the world. More than 7.5 million international travellers arrived between January and August, including over 1 million in August alone, 7.4% more than a year earlier. The United States was the largest overseas source market that month with 37,134 arrivals, followed by the UK (25,749) and Germany (14,731).
Tourism Minister Patricia de Lille has said the next step is turning demand into investment, jobs and longer stays, and the government held a Tourism Infrastructure Investment Summit in late September for that purpose. Pricing is already rising. SANParks raised conservation fees for international visitors by up to 15% from 1 November 2026. This tests how much more the market will pay at a time when long-haul travel is getting more expensive.
West Africa: Visa Reform as Growth Policy
West Africa receives fewer tourists than the North, East or South, but it has been among the most active in using visa policy to attract visitors. Ghana introduced free e-visas for all African passport holders from Africa Day, 25 May 2026, a policy the Ghana Tourism Federation expects to increase leisure, heritage and business travel. Togo removed visa requirements for African citizens for stays of up to 30 days from 18 May 2026. They join Benin, The Gambia, Rwanda and Seychelles, which already offer open entry to African travellers.
These changes are happening against a slow continental trend. The tenth Africa Visa Openness Index, published by the African Development Bank and the African Union Commission and launched in Cape Town in December 2025, found only modest progress, with a continental average openness score of about 0.448. Intra-African travel depends on these rules. Domestic and regional tourists are the largest spending group, and the 2026 slowdown in long-haul travel shows the risk of relying on European and North American visitors.
The Leakage Problem
High arrival numbers do not guarantee broad gains. A large share of tourist spending in Africa leaves the destination country through foreign-owned airlines, international hotel brands, imported food and furnishings, and booking platforms based abroad. W Hospitality's pipeline data show the pattern: Marriott International alone accounts for 31,782 of the planned rooms, followed by Hilton and Accor. International brands bring distribution networks and standards that lenders require. However, management fees, franchise fees and loyalty-programme costs are paid abroad, and room inventory is concentrated. Egypt accounts for 45,984 pipeline rooms, about 37% of the continental total. Morocco has 10,606 and Nigeria 8,480.
Several policies can increase the share that stays at home: local procurement requirements or incentives for hotels, especially for food; domestic and regional equity in hotel ownership; direct booking channels; and more African airline capacity to reduce dependence on foreign carriers. The last of these is difficult, because African airlines remain only marginally profitable. Skills matter too. WTTC's 31.5 million jobs figure includes many low-wage, seasonal positions, so moving people into management, guiding, culinary and hospitality-technology roles affects household incomes more than adding more rooms.
Wildlife and natural assets are under pressure as well. WWF's Living Planet Report 2026 records a 73% average decline in monitored wildlife populations between 1970 and 2022. Nature-based tourism in East and Southern Africa depends on the ecosystems it markets. Conservation fees, community conservancies and revenue-sharing arrangements therefore protect the economic base of the sector.
What to Watch
Over the next 12 months, four indicators will show whether Africa is capturing more value from tourism:
First, receipts per visitor. Kenya and Morocco are growing revenue faster than arrivals, a sign of rising value. Destinations where revenue only keeps pace with arrivals are competing mainly on volume.
Second, whether hotel projects are delivered. Of the 31,768 rooms scheduled to open in 2026, how many actually open will show whether high construction shares in East Africa translate into new capacity. Past completion rates suggest some projects will slip.
Third, arrivals following visa reform. Ghana's and Togo's mid-2026 visa changes will produce their first full-year results in 2027 and will show whether visa openness increases intra-African travel or only signals intent.
Fourth, exposure to external shocks. North Africa's slowdown in 2026 and UN Tourism's lower global forecast show that tourism depends on events far from Africa. Countries with large domestic and regional markets, such as Tanzania, South Africa and Kenya, are better protected.
Africa's tourism growth is real, and in a weak year for global travel it is notable. The longer-term development gain depends on keeping more of each visitor's spending in local jobs, businesses and communities.